Insights & Observations Blog

Insights & Observations

Context and perspective to improve behavioral  finance patterns and  make smarter financial decisions. A focus above the fray, on what matters most for effective financial outcomes and goal achievement.

  • ★ Featured blog post

    Q1-2017 Quarterly Letter

    The “risk-on” theme persisted through the first quarter as improving economic data trumped elevated geopolitical uncertainty, both in the U.S. and abroad. Economies in the U.S. and Europe continued to gain traction and the U.S. entered its 93rd month of expansion. At the same time, important and potentially divisive elections in Europe, an impeachment in South Korea, heightened tensions with North Korea, innuendo around Russia, civil war in Syria, the Brexit trigger, and an unconventional and inexperienced administration in the U.S. did not rile investors.

    ★ Featured blog post

    Q4-2016 Quarterly Context Webinar

    What’s riskier… gambling or investing? Do political parties or the Fed have a bigger impact on markets? View the webinar recording for more insight.

    ★ Featured blog post

    Periodic Table of Unpredictable Returns

    Are there clear patterns of investment market returns over time? How does a “balanced” global portfolio compare to individual asset classes over the last 20 years?

    ★ Featured blog post

    Markets do fine over time… but many investors don’t

    As the year turns, investors are bombarded with predictions about what 2017 may hold. Soothsayers will suggest strategies to avoid the next crisis or how not to miss the next great opportunity.

    ★ Featured blog post

    Q3-2016 Quarterly Context Webinar

    ★ Featured blog post

    Is uncertainty a friend or foe?

    Surprise parties would surely be less fun without it, and life would generally be more boring if all outcomes were known in advance. And, while capital markets react negatively to increases in uncertainty, it is that very same absence of clear outcomes that makes the capital markets possible and worthwhile in the long-run. Unpredictability is […]

    ★ Featured blog post

    Reality of Red Numbers – updated

    What’s your guess as to how many months the stock market declines or rises each year? And in bad vs. good markets?

    ★ Featured blog post

    Q3-2016 Market Review

    Investor angst over the unexpected vote on Brexit was short-lived with a “risk-on” theme returning to the markets in July and leading to stock market highs for the Dow, NASDAQ and S&P 500 in August. Highly unusual election antics and continued geopolitical concerns on a number of fronts did not dampen investors’ risk appetite or their quest for yield.

    ★ Featured blog post

    Noise attracts more attention than silence.

    Noise generally attracts more attention than silence. Being aware of certain things you don’t see or hear, however, is sometimes more important than the obvious.

    ★ Featured blog post

    Q2-2016 Market Review

    Brexit, Regrexit, Bremorse, Breturn? The 2nd quarter was reasonably uneventful and markets were relatively placid until June 23rd, when British voters narrowly approved the Brexit referendum. Investor complacency was replaced with shock, and markets reacted fiercely. Volatility spiked, global bond yields fell sharply.

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